Tuesday, July 19, 2005

SACKINGSBLOG.com

Okay, so it's Tuesday...

Ladies and gentlemen, Pick&Droll is on a permanent vacation.

But rising from the ashes in its place is the bigger, better, faster SACKINGSBLOG.COM!

The main reason for the switch is the name thing. Pick&Droll, while clever, sucks. SACKINGSBLOG.COM, on the other hand, is very self-explanatory - a must-have when you're quite possibly dealing with fans from both Carmichael and Galt.

So, all new posts will be made at SACKINGSBLOG.COM, so you should reset your bookmarks (ha!) to SACKINGSBLOG.COM and begin to visit SACKINGSBLOG.COM.

Oh, and by the way, visit SACKINGSBLOG.COM. Thank you.

Friday, July 15, 2005

Short Hiatus

Sorry for the lack of content and the buggy interface today.

We'll be back Monday morning with an exciting announcement and a new look. And hopefully with a new power forward and/or shooting guard. But that part is up to Petrie.

Thursday, July 14, 2005

Programming Notes

Changes coming soon to P&D, your leading source for offseason bitching and whining. If the site appears buggy, it means we're actually doing some cosmetic work to it! If it doesn't, it means we're wallowing in a puddle of our own sweat, exhausted from the flaming sun bearing down on us as we twiddle away in our office. Sacramento weather, gotta love it!

Francisco Garcia - Clipper Killer

I'm a bit disappointed in the lack of real summer league coverage by the Bee. I'm actually really hard-pressed to complain in reality, though, since I a) don't subscribe, b) haven't talked about summer league at any length, and c) really only check the box scores.

It's nice that Francisco Garcia got 23 points against the Clippers' summer league team (see the last paragraph of the above story), but I can't tell from the Bee's piece if it's because he's starting to pick up the offensive system or because his shot was falling. That's important information to me. And I've seen nary a mention of Kevin Martin's high level of play in Vegas. That's also important. Or at least it should be.

Kwame: The New Butt of our Jokes

Looks like the Lakers gave up Caron Butler for Kwame Brown. I'm known to have coveted Kwame at the beginning of this offseason, but I thought he'd be undervalued because of his bad stint in D.C.

I never thought he was "trade for Caron Butler and a really, really spare part" good, at least not now. I mean, couldn't Butler fetch a little more out on the market? The guy was damn near rookie-of-the-year not too long ago despite being in the same freshman class as Amare Stoudemire and Yao Ming. I'm not saying he's even close to Amare or even Yao at this point in his career, but methinks this is a steal for Washington. A steal.

Another big man I coveted, Udonis Haslem, took a pay-cut to stick with the Shaq and Flash Show. Can you blame him? He could've taken more money to go with LeBron and the Cavs, but he might have had to wait on that, and he might be losing minutes to Drew Gooden until that inevitable trade happens.

Also, a big man I have never once coveted (not even as he was whipping Sacramento's ass up and down the floor last spring) - the abominable Jerome James signed with the Knicks for a good amount of cash.

I think there's a clause in the Knicks charter that states every NBA player named Jerome must play at least one home game in Madison Square Garden. Can we get a ruling on this?

Wednesday, July 13, 2005

Rick Adelman <3's the Schedule Makers!

Using records from the wonderful game results log at Basketball-Reference.com and my gorgeous orange calculator, I looked at the Kings 2005 seasons based on days between games and home-road splits in anticipation of the upcoming release of the 2006 schedule.

Looking at the raw data, it appears the Kings got jobbed. They had 17 games with 0 days rest -- the back-end of back-to-backs. Thirteen of those were on the road and four were at home. Highly suspicious.

The Kings went 2-2 in those home games with 0 days rest, for a 50.0 winning percentage. The roadies with 0 days rest with a different story, with the team going 5-8 for a 38.5 winning percentage.

Overall then, in the second games of back-to-backs, the Kings went 7-10, for a 41.2 winning percentage.

Looking at the suspicious part -- that more than 75 percent of the team's game on 0 days rest were on the road -- you'd assume that the team would pick up a win or two if the number of home games was closer to the number of road games. But you'd be wrong.

Using the above winning percentages (and laughing in the face of small sample sizes), if the Kings played eight of those zero-rest games at home, they'd be 4-4. The other nine would still be on the road, and the Kings would be expected to win 3.47 of them.

We'll round down here and say they go 3-6 (which is closer to the expected 38.5 winning percentage than 4-5 is) for an overall zero-rest game record of ... 7-10. Which is exactly what they went with four home games and 13 roadies.

So, because of the small number of zero-rest games compared to the season overall, there would seem to be no tangible positive effect of more evenly splitting the zero-rest games between the road and home.

But there's more. The home-road split seen in zero-rest games is flipped for games on one day's rest. Of the 47 games played last season by the Kings with one day's test, 28 (or 60 percent) of them were at home and 19 (or 40 percent) were on the road. Overall, the Kings went 31-16 in these games, for a 66.0 winning percentage.

The home-road disparity doesn't appear as great as the zero-rest game split, but it's more significant because of the sheer number of the games in question -- 57 percent of the games came on one day's rest.

The Kings went 22-6 in the home single-day's-rest games (winning 78.6 percent) and 9-10 on the road (winning 47.4 percent).

So let's even these games out and say that 24 came at home and 23 came on the road. The Kings would be expected to go 19-5 in the home ones and 11-12 in the road ones, which would give them 30 wins in the 47 games.

So, the Kings would lose a win if the single-day's-rest games were evened out between Arco and the road.

That would've given the Kings 49 wins, preventing Rick Adelman from keeping up his "five straight seasons of 50 wins" bludgery.

So, in essence, Rick Adelman owes his streak to the schedule-makers!

(Note: I suck at math, so take all of the above with a granule of salt. Also, if you think I'm being sarcastic, I am. Also, more to come, including a look at prior seasons.)

KingsInk: Have fun in L.A., Cuttino!

Marty McNeal writes that Cuttino Mobley looks to have signed a fat $42M over 5 years deal with the Clippers. "Good riddance" seems a little strong, but who cares?

Of course, the guy will probably scorch us for 30 every time we play L.A. next season.

McNeal seems to be the first in the media to mention a Bonzi Wells to the Kings rumor, which is pretty exciting. After a slow start, McNeal has come up with several good nuggets on possible moves.

Bonzi is overpriced this coming season at $8M, but his contract is up next summer. If we can re-sign Mo Evans, I think Bonzi would be nice to have around to let Mo come off the bench for another year. Bonzi is an excellent defender, and despite two down seasons, he actually scored more than Cuttino per 48. And he's a great shooter, as long as he stays inside the arc.

What do we have to give up to Jerry West though? I know they're trying to lose Jason Williams (no thanks) and will probably lose Earl Watson. So do they want Bobby? Bobby + Corliss for Bonzi makes sense financially, but leaves us without an acceptable backup at the point. And I'm not quite ready for year two of the Eddie House Era, if you know what I mean.

Tuesday, July 12, 2005

As the Petrie Turns: Welcome, Shareef! No, You Can't Leave Yet.

So Geoff Petrie is showing Shareef Abdur-Rahim around Sacramento, trying to woo the big guy to join the Kings for the mid-level exception. Marty McNeal writes:

"But after all the fine dining, scenic views and palatial estates, Abdur-Rahim is going to want Petrie and the Kings to show him the money."

Umm. So after visiting Zelda's on 21st Street, the Sacramento River and Chris Webber's old house, what's Petrie going to do? It doesn't sound like Portland is going to deal with us - they're intent on starting four teenagers and Zach Randolph, it seems. (Have fun, Nate.)

If we don't sign-and-trade for him, we don't get SAR. Why would Portland deal with us and our Corliss Williamsons and Kenny Thomases when they could get New Jersey's trade exception and draft picks (with which they could pick 19-year-olds next year)? Sacramento's a nice quaint city - Shareef would like it here. But is it that much better than New Jersey to offset $3-4M per year?

Well...we are competing with New Jersey, so maybe.

Monday, July 11, 2005

"I'll be a Bruce Bowen if I have to."

A dissed and pissed Jawad Williams, the only Tar Heel not selected in the Lottery of the 2005 NBA draft, gets off some of the greatest quotes of the offseason in a CoCo Times piece printed this morning, including the following gems:

"Robert Horry doesn't have any upside, but look what he does."

"I know I can play at this level. I'll be a Bruce Bowen if I have to."


This guy would make a great King. Two - count 'em two - big burns on the champs. He's on the Warriors summer league team, which means he's playing in Europe next year. Too bad, really. Beat writers everywhere would love this guy.

Gavin Maloof Uses Sugar Substitute?

The question in the post title is one of the more intriguing things about the completion of Sam Amick's Q&A with the Kings co-owner.

Also, on the Adelman-Portland situation that really blew away once the Blazers signed Nate McMillan, Gavin says:

"No, they never contacted me. I don't think they contacted Geoff, either. I think it was all the Portland papers. I think the paper started all that (laughs). There was no validity to it, no substance to it. I really don't know where they got it from. And we're all right with Rick. He's our coach. He's got another year."(That emphasis is ours.)

Nothing like a vote of confidence from the owner for your already-feeling-spurned head coach!

P&D readers, here's your assignment: Find out which sugar substitute Gavin uses in his iced tea. Splenda? Sweet-n-Low? Angeldust? C'mon, inquiring minds want to know.

As the Petrie Turns: Say It Ain't Toine

Yesterday (I know, I know...), Marty McNeal reportered that the Kings are mulling a sign-and-trade for Antoine Walker. I've written about my dislike for Toine before, but that sour taste will only grow as I see more passages like this in the local rag:

"Agent Mark Bartelstein called the 6-foot-10 Walker one of the league's top 20 players. That's arguable..."

No, Marty - that's laughable. To call Toine one of the league's top 20 forwards would be arguable. How many real NBA fans would actually argue with Bartelstein when hearing that ludicrous statement? Methinks most would roll their eyes and walk away laughing.

For Bartelstein's (and McNeal's) benefit, here are 20 players off the top of my head that are better than Toine , in no particular order:

Shaq, LeBron, Kobe, Dwyane, Timmy, KG, Amare, Dirk, TMac, AI, Pierce, Jermaine O'Neal, Ray Allen, JKidd, Peja, Elton Brand, Ben Wallace, Rasheed Wallace, Chauncey Billups, Vinsanity, Yao, Dwight Howard, Nash, AK47, Okafor (not Patrick, sadly), Melo, Manu, Arenas, Bosh, Joe Johnson, Marion, Gasol, Rip, KMart (not Kevin, sadly), Artest, Larry Hughes, Zach Randolph, Bibby, Brad Miller, Baron Davis, Tony Parker, Starbury.

Okay, so that's 42. And those are inarguable - meaning it'd be pretty damn difficult to point to any of the above and with a straight face say that Walker is a better player. There are heaps of others who are a season or two of expectable production from joining that list - Iguodala, Dalembert, any of the top rookies, Rashard Lewis, Maggette, Ben Gordon, Chandler, Jason Terry, Josh Howard. I'd argue that all of those are better than Toine, but I'd at least have to argue with some people about it.

In sum, just say no to Toine.

Friday, July 08, 2005

Sam Amick + Gavin Maloof = Fun in Vegas!

Sam Amick "caught up with" Gavin Maloof poolside(?) at The Palms and interviewed him. The Bee teased a partial Q&A online today with apparently more to come in Sunday's print edition.

The web excerpt ends with:

"The expanded Q & A with Gavin Maloof, where he talks more about all these topics and also talks about others, including the NBA All-Star Game in Las Vegas, whether he thinks there should be an NBA franchise in Vegas and what he's willing to tell about coach Rick Adelman's future with the Kings."

Why wait to spend $1.50 Sunday when P&D can you give those answers today? Here's our best guess at Gavin's answers to those questions...

Amick: NBA All-Star Game in Las Vegas?

Maloof: It's going to be great.

Amick: Franchise in Vegas?

Maloof: I think it'd be great. We're not moving our team there (laughs), but I think a franchise would do very well down here. It's the greatest city in the world, besides Sacramento. (laughs)

Amick: Adelman's future with the Kings?

Maloof: We love Rick. We want him to coach here for a long time. He's been a great coach and we're privileged to have him. (laughs) Whether he's back after this season, you know that's something we'll sit down with Rick and talk about this season. We'll see, you know. (laughs)

The blogosphere: Tomorrow's news today, without all the boring filler!

Thursday, July 07, 2005

Redd Off the Market

The AP reports that Michael Redd will stay with the Bucks for $90M+ over 6 years.

What's it mean for the Kings? Well, the Cavs - who have plenty of cap space - could end up settling on Cuttino Mobley. They wouldn't need to sign and trade for him like Denver would, so we'd get nothing if he signed there.

So here's to hoping a) Larry Hughes walks away from the Wizards to join LeBron, b) the Cat starts talking crap about LeBron's game, or c) Denver gets scared and deals with us quickly.